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Forexpro’s Analysis 12.10.09

 
12 October 2009

The Euro stopped at the resistance established in Friday’s report 1.4772 with amazing accuracy, a stop which was a signal that we are heading to areas below 1.47. And now, there is a resistance that combines the rising trendline drawn from 1.4566, and the falling trendline drawn from 1.4816, and is currently at 1.4725, if price stay below it, we are heading south.

The probability of more downside grows with a break of the nearby support
1.4693. Such a break would signal more of the drop, to test one or some of
the important support levels in the 1.46 & 1.45 areas such as 1.4645,
1.4613, 1.4575, down to 1.4509. The most important resistance is short-term
is of course 1.4725. If broken, the Euro will be able to reach areas above
1.48, first of which is 1.4824, then new highs above the tops of September
22nd & 23rd, the most attractive of which is 1.4901.

Support:

. 1.4693: short-term support.

. 1.4645: Previous intraday resistance.

. 1.4574: Previous intraday support.

Resistance:

. 1.4725: an area combining the rising trendline from 1.4566, and the
falling trendline from 1.4816.

. 1.4761: previous daily high.

. 1.4826: previous daily high.

USD/JPY

The Dollar-Yen is testing the limit of the downtrend, which is represented
by the falling trendline from August 9th top, and if it is broken, then the
Dollar would be invited to show how deep its real strength is over a series
of resistance areas starting at 90.67 and reaches 91.63. The resistance that
is attached to this line is 90.29, and if broken, then the line is broken,
and the next stop would be 90.67 which is an important stop on the way to
the most important stop in these areas 91.63. Short-term support is at
89.32, and if broken the direction would be down to test the important
support 88.68, which must hold to prevent another attempt to test 87.97
which survived last week’s attempt for a break.

Support:

. 89.32: short-term support.

. 88.68: support area that supported the price twice this month.

. 87.97: Jan 23rd low.

Resistance:

. 90.29: the falling trendline from Aug 9th top.

. 90.67: previous support.

. 91.12: previous support & resistance area.

Forex trading analysis by www.forexpros.com – Written by Munther T. Marji

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